Watch: How US-Israel strikes on Iran unfolded... in two minutes

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In 2003, Blair said there was no option but to stand “shoulder to shoulder” with the U.S. Many in Europe agreed—in 2000, 82% of Britons and 62% of the French were “favorable” towards the US. The Western global agreement was strong, politically and economically. America had secured western Europe after the Second World War and there was much to be grateful for. Trade flowed between the two power blocs of the world.

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That’s changing. It feels like the Trump administration is extremely aware of prediction markets and how important they are and how they can be gamed. There’s some back and forth about whether anyone should regulate them at all that we’ll come to, but the prominence of a Polymarket or a Kalshi, it’s only going up. And I’m wondering if you see the relationship between the existence of the prediction markets and the behavior of the principles — in business, in politics, in finance — in a way that suggests, “actually this is going to go very badly.”

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