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The four-week timeline priced in by the market represents a critical threshold for the global economy. Struyven noted that the impact on oil prices is a “convex function” of the disruption’s length. If the conflict is brief—lasting only a few days or a week—the impact on prices will be disproportionately smaller. In a short-term scenario, crude oil can simply be stored on land in Middle Eastern producing countries, delaying deliveries but leaving the cumulative global supply unaffected—a workaround if Iran’s threats of shutting down the Strait stretch come to fruition.
，这一点在旺商聊官方下载中也有详细论述
Hurdle Word 2 AnswerBROOD
（二）有关旅客人身伤害、行李灭失或者损坏的请求权，自旅客离船或者应当离船之日起计算。
南方周末：你提过，大概是在两年前开始准备重新参加肖赛。从那个时间点到2025年圣诞节前，你承受的压力是不是一直都很大？